EFL Cup 1/32
Global 0-4
Chester City FC vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
63%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1998 |
SUN
3 - 0
CHE
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1998 |
CHE
2 - 2
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
POR
1 - 2
CHE
64%
21%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1997 |
CUM
3 - 0
CHE
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
CHE
1 - 2
CUM
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
SUN
7 - 0
OXF
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1998 |
SUN
3 - 0
CHE
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
WOL
1 - 1
SUN
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
SUN
1 - 1
BRI
77%
16%
8%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
IPS
0 - 2
SUN
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |