EFL Cup 1/64
Global 6-5
Chester City FC vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1998 |
CHE
0 - 1
SUN
14%
23%
63%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1998 |
SUN
3 - 0
CHE
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1998 |
CHE
2 - 2
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
POR
1 - 2
CHE
64%
21%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1997 |
CUM
3 - 0
CHE
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
BBU
0 - 0
POR
84%
12%
5%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
BCF
1 - 0
POR
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
POR
2 - 0
QPR
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1999 |
POR
1 - 2
WAT
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
TRA
1 - 1
POR
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |