EFL Cup 1/32
Global 0-6
Chester City FC vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
60.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
POR
4 - 4
CHE
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
CHE
2 - 1
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1998 |
CHE
0 - 1
SUN
14%
23%
63%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1998 |
SUN
3 - 0
CHE
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1998 |
CHE
2 - 2
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
ARS
3 - 1
ASV
66%
22%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
ASV
1 - 0
MID
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
WAT
0 - 1
ASV
27%
29%
44%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
CHL
1 - 0
ASV
69%
19%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1999 |
ASV
2 - 2
WHU
58%
24%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |