Chesham United vs Salisbury City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CHE
3 - 1
WEY
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
FAR
2 - 1
CHE
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CHM
1 - 1
CHE
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BAT
1 - 1
CHE
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
CHE
2 - 2
CHM
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SAL
0 - 2
DOR
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
HOR
1 - 1
SAL
45%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SAL
1 - 1
STA
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
SAL
0 - 0
FAR
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
0 - 1
SAL
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |