Chesham United vs Hartley Wintney analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
WIM
0 - 1
CHE
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
HAS
0 - 0
CHE
45%
24%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CHE
0 - 0
GOS
64%
20%
17%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
ENF
1 - 1
CHE
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 2
HAR
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
HAR
5 - 0
ERI
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
WAL
1 - 1
HAR
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 0
HAM
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 0
EAS
22%
22%
56%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 2
HAR
66%
20%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |