Chesham United vs Hartley Wintney analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
POO
0 - 0
CHE
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
WAL
2 - 2
CHE
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 0
DOR
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 3
CHE
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 0
BEA
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MET
5 - 1
HAR
69%
19%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
HAR
3 - 4
SAL
21%
21%
57%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
WAL
1 - 2
HAR
60%
18%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
HAR
0 - 2
BAS
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
HAR
2 - 2
SWI
47%
21%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |