Chesham United vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
25%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
5 - 1
POO
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SWI
0 - 0
CHE
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 0
GOS
63%
19%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
FRO
0 - 2
CHE
24%
24%
53%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 1
BAS
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
SAL
3 - 2
FAR
68%
18%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
FAR
2 - 2
DOR
65%
18%
17%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
WAL
2 - 1
FAR
34%
21%
45%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
TAU
2 - 1
FAR
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
FAR
0 - 0
MET
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |