FA Cup 1/256
Global 3-1
Chesham United vs Braintree Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 0
CHE
34%
24%
41%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 1
DID
86%
10%
4%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
4 - 3
ENF
59%
20%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 0
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
2 - 2
CHE
32%
24%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Braintree Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 0
CHE
34%
24%
41%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
BAT
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
3 - 2
BRA
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AVE
1 - 1
BRA
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
3 - 1
CAN
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |