Chesham United vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 2
CHE
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 3
CHE
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 3
GUL
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
CHE
39%
25%
37%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 2
WES
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
AVE
3 - 1
DOR
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GUL
1 - 1
AVE
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 3
SLO
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 1
AVE
46%
24%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 1
HEM
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |