Chertanovo vs Kaluga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chertanovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ZVE
2 - 2
CHE
67%
21%
12%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CHE
3 - 3
VIT
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 2
MET
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ORE
1 - 3
CHE
40%
26%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 1
ARS
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
KAL
1 - 0
ARS
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DIN
0 - 0
KAL
44%
29%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
KAL
2 - 0
AVA
36%
28%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SAT
1 - 1
KAL
43%
27%
31%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KAL
1 - 1
ENE
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |