Chertanovo vs Murom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chertanovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2018 |
PSK
0 - 5
CHE
13%
21%
67%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 3
CHE
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
CHE
3 - 1
KOL
86%
10%
3%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 4
CHE
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 0
LUK
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Murom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 2
KOL
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 0
MUR
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 0
LUK
53%
22%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ZNA
0 - 0
MUR
10%
15%
75%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 2
VEL
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |