Chertanovo vs Avangard Kursk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chertanovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
ZEN
1 - 0
CHE
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 2
KAL
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHE
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
DIN
4 - 2
CHE
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
ORE
0 - 2
CHE
18%
23%
60%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
KAL
2 - 2
AVA
59%
23%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 2
DIN
17%
24%
59%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
FCM
1 - 1
AVA
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 3
ZVE
46%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
AVA
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |