Chertanovo U16 vs Lokomotiv Moskva U16 analysis


19	ELO	31
1.8%	Tilt	-1%
44230º	General ELO ranking	44228º
479º	Country ELO ranking	477º
ELO win probability

20%

Chertanovo U16

19.5%

Draw

60.5%

Lokomotiv Moskva U16

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

20%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%

19.5%

Draw

0-0

2.9%

1-1

8.4%

2-2

3-3

1.9%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

19.5%

60.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%