Chernomorets Pomorie vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Pomorie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SLI
1 - 0
CHE
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 0
DOR
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SVA
1 - 5
CHE
35%
27%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
NEF
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DOB
2 - 1
CHE
21%
26%
54%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
NES
1 - 0
DOR
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
NEF
2 - 3
NES
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LYU
2 - 0
NES
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NES
0 - 1
BOT
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SLI
4 - 0
NES
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |