Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Zhemchuzhina Sochi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
ZEN
1 - 1
CHE
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
CHE
1 - 1
SAT
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
YAR
1 - 0
CHE
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1998 |
CHE
3 - 1
SPA
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
TYU
0 - 3
CHE
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Zhemchuzhina Sochi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
SAT
3 - 0
ZHE
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
ZHE
1 - 1
LNN
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
TOR
1 - 0
ZHE
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
ZHE
1 - 4
ZEN
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1998 |
ZHE
2 - 6
ELI
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |