Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Volga Novgorod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 0
KAM
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ANZ
2 - 0
CHE
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
VOL
1 - 0
CHE
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 2
KRA
38%
27%
34%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CHE
2 - 2
NOS
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Volga Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2009 |
KRA
1 - 3
VNN
76%
17%
8%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VNN
0 - 0
VIT
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
VNN
4 - 2
NOS
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 0
VNN
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
YAR
1 - 0
VNN
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |