Europa League 1/64
Global 0-6
Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
56%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
TOR
3 - 1
CHE
70%
19%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
CHE
0 - 0
KRS
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
DIN
2 - 1
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
CHE
1 - 0
FAK
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
SAT
4 - 0
CHE
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
VCF
1 - 0
UDL
71%
18%
11%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
VAD
1 - 1
VCF
27%
28%
45%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
VCF
1 - 0
RMA
43%
25%
33%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
FCB
3 - 2
VCF
61%
21%
19%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
VCF
0 - 1
DEP
55%
23%
22%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |