Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Tyumen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1997 |
KUB
2 - 1
CHE
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
TOR
0 - 0
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
CHE
1 - 0
YAR
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
ZHE
3 - 1
CHE
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 1997 |
CHE
2 - 1
ROT
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tyumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
TYU
2 - 1
LNN
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
TOM
3 - 1
TYU
17%
23%
59%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
SPA
2 - 0
TYU
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
TYU
0 - 0
LOK
22%
27%
51%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
TYU
2 - 1
TOR
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |