Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Akhmat Grozny II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2016 |
AFI
0 - 1
CHE
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
CHE
3 - 1
FCK
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 0
AST
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 1
BIO
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
SKA
2 - 0
CHE
19%
26%
55%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Akhmat Grozny II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2016 |
TER
0 - 0
DMA
58%
22%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
MAS
2 - 0
TER
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
ALA
1 - 0
TER
44%
26%
31%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
TER
1 - 2
AFI
24%
26%
51%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
FCK
3 - 1
TER
57%
23%
21%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |