Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
49.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2003 |
SPA
2 - 1
CHE
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 0
ROT
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
DIN
3 - 2
CHE
62%
21%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 0
FCR
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
CHE
2 - 2
FCR
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2003 |
SPA
2 - 1
CHE
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2003 |
FCR
3 - 2
SPA
26%
24%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 1
SAT
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 0
FCR
73%
16%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
LOK
2 - 1
SPA
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |