Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
TYU
0 - 3
CHE
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
CHE
2 - 1
BAL
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
KRS
3 - 0
CHE
47%
27%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
CHE
2 - 0
ELI
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
ALA
3 - 1
CHE
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
SPA
3 - 1
YAR
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1998 |
INT
2 - 1
SPA
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
ROT
1 - 2
SPA
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
SPA
1 - 0
TOR
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1998 |
SPA
2 - 1
RMA
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |