Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Sibir Novosibirsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
54%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 2
CHE
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
NIZ
1 - 0
CHE
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 1
MOR
25%
27%
49%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 0
KAM
26%
27%
46%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
VOL
2 - 2
CHE
57%
24%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sibir Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
SIB
0 - 0
URA
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
SIB
1 - 0
GAZ
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
YAR
3 - 3
SIB
38%
27%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
DIN
1 - 1
SIB
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
VLA
1 - 0
SIB
22%
28%
51%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |