Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Rotor Volgograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
DIN
3 - 2
CHE
62%
21%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 0
FCR
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
CHE
2 - 2
FCR
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
SAT
2 - 0
CHE
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
CHE
2 - 5
LOK
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rotor Volgograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2003 |
ROT
0 - 2
LOK
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
SAT
4 - 1
ROT
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
DIN
3 - 1
ROT
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
ROT
3 - 1
FCR
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
ROT
1 - 1
SPA
26%
23%
51%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |