Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Lokomotiv Nizhny Novgorod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1999 |
CHE
0 - 0
ELI
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1999 |
TOR
3 - 1
CHE
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1999 |
CHE
1 - 0
ALA
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
FCR
1 - 0
CHE
61%
21%
17%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
CHE
1 - 1
KRS
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Nizhny Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1999 |
TOR
3 - 2
LNN
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1999 |
LNN
0 - 0
FCR
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1999 |
ROT
2 - 3
LNN
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
LNN
0 - 2
CSK
23%
27%
50%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
SPA
2 - 2
LNN
81%
13%
5%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |