Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Lokomotiv Nizhny Novgorod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1996 |
TKA
0 - 1
CHE
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1996 |
CHE
0 - 3
SPA
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
LAD
1 - 1
CHE
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 1996 |
CHE
2 - 1
CSK
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 1996 |
CHE
1 - 1
LOK
23%
28%
50%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Nizhny Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1996 |
LNN
1 - 0
BAL
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
LNN
1 - 2
ALA
21%
27%
52%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1996 |
ZHE
1 - 0
LNN
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 1996 |
LNN
2 - 1
ZEN
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 1996 |
FCR
2 - 3
LNN
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |