Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Lokomotiv Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
49.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1996 |
ROT
3 - 1
CHE
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1996 |
CHE
2 - 2
URA
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1996 |
BAL
2 - 2
CHE
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1996 |
CHE
1 - 2
ALA
21%
25%
53%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
ZHE
1 - 0
CHE
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1996 |
LOK
5 - 1
URA
68%
21%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1996 |
LOK
3 - 1
BAL
69%
21%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1996 |
ALA
1 - 0
LOK
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
SPA
2 - 3
LOK
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1996 |
LOK
2 - 1
ZHE
70%
20%
11%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |