Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Lada Tolyatti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1996 |
CSK
1 - 3
CHE
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
CHE
0 - 0
ROT
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
LOK
3 - 1
CHE
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
URA
4 - 0
CHE
63%
21%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
CHE
1 - 0
BAL
52%
24%
25%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lada Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1996 |
LAD
0 - 5
BAL
31%
28%
42%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
ALA
3 - 0
LAD
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
LAD
0 - 3
ZHE
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
ZEN
2 - 1
LAD
59%
25%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
LAD
0 - 2
FCR
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |