Chernomorets Novorossisk vs FK Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
FCR
0 - 0
CHE
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2001 |
CHE
2 - 3
ROT
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2001 |
SPA
5 - 0
CHE
73%
17%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2001 |
SOK
0 - 0
CHE
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
CHE
1 - 4
ZEN
40%
26%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FK Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2001 |
FKM
1 - 0
SOK
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2001 |
ZEN
4 - 0
FKM
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2001 |
FKM
0 - 4
LOK
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2001 |
ALA
1 - 1
FKM
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
FKM
1 - 1
TOR
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |