Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Tuapse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ROT
0 - 5
CHE
9%
17%
74%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 1
DMK
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FOT
0 - 1
CHE
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 1
FKK
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ALA
4 - 6
CHE
10%
18%
72%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Tuapse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 1
DIN
27%
21%
52%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SKA
4 - 0
FCT
78%
16%
7%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
FCT
4 - 1
ROT
37%
23%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +3 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
DMK
3 - 0
FCT
83%
12%
5%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
FCT
0 - 3
FOT
12%
20%
69%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -2 |