Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Fakel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
SKA
1 - 0
CHE
53%
27%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
VLA
1 - 0
CHE
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
URA
1 - 0
CHE
60%
25%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
GAZ
2 - 1
CHE
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
FKB
1 - 1
CHE
22%
26%
52%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
FAK
0 - 0
URA
16%
26%
58%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
FAK
1 - 1
GAZ
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
FAK
1 - 2
YAR
16%
26%
58%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
DIN
0 - 1
FAK
66%
22%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FAK
3 - 1
ZEN
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +2 |