Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Fakel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1997 |
LNN
2 - 3
CHE
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1997 |
CHE
1 - 1
LOK
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
FCR
0 - 0
CHE
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
CHE
2 - 2
BAL
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
KRS
1 - 0
CHE
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1997 |
FAK
0 - 1
SPA
8%
20%
72%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1997 |
TOR
4 - 2
FAK
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
FAK
1 - 2
YAR
38%
30%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
ZHE
1 - 0
FAK
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
FAK
0 - 0
ROT
17%
25%
58%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |