Chernomorets Novorossisk vs CSKA Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
LOK
2 - 1
CHE
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1999 |
CHE
1 - 1
SPA
21%
23%
55%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
ZHE
2 - 0
CHE
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 1999 |
CHE
1 - 0
ZEN
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1999 |
SAT
3 - 0
CHE
39%
27%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
CSK
0 - 4
SPA
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1999 |
MFK
4 - 0
CSK
49%
26%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
CSK
2 - 0
MFK
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1999 |
ELI
1 - 1
CSK
24%
27%
49%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1999 |
CSK
5 - 0
YAR
75%
17%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |