Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Baltika Kaliningrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
33.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
NIZ
1 - 0
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 0
CHE
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
KRA
1 - 0
CHE
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 1
SAL
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 1
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Baltika Kaliningrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 1
KHI
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
NOS
0 - 1
BAL
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 1
VIT
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
TOR
0 - 3
BAL
52%
23%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 2
YAR
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |