Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Baltika Kaliningrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
CHE
4 - 1
TOR
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2008 |
DIN
1 - 0
CHE
32%
28%
41%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
MET
0 - 0
CHE
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 2
SIB
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 3
URA
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Baltika Kaliningrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
KUB
2 - 0
BAL
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2008 |
BAL
2 - 0
ZIR
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
BAL
0 - 0
SKA
45%
26%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
FCR
1 - 0
BAL
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2008 |
DIN
0 - 1
BAL
22%
28%
50%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |