Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Baltika Kaliningrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
KRS
3 - 0
CHE
47%
27%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
CHE
2 - 0
ELI
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
ALA
3 - 1
CHE
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
SAT
1 - 0
CHE
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
CHE
0 - 0
ZHE
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Baltika Kaliningrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
BAL
3 - 1
YAR
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
ROT
1 - 1
BAL
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
BAL
0 - 0
TOR
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
NOS
2 - 1
BAL
15%
22%
63%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
CSK
2 - 0
BAL
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |