Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Baltika Kaliningrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1997 |
KRS
1 - 0
CHE
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
CHE
2 - 0
ZEN
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
CSK
0 - 1
CHE
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1997 |
CHE
1 - 0
KAM
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
TYU
0 - 0
CHE
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Baltika Kaliningrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1997 |
BAL
1 - 1
SPA
23%
24%
52%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
TOR
1 - 0
BAL
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
BAL
1 - 1
YAR
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1997 |
ZHE
0 - 0
BAL
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
BAL
0 - 1
ROT
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |