Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Baltika Kaliningrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1996 |
ALA
2 - 1
CHE
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
CHE
3 - 1
ZHE
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
ZEN
1 - 0
CHE
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
CHE
2 - 1
FCR
50%
23%
27%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
AVT
2 - 1
CHE
21%
22%
56%
|
64 | 11 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Baltika Kaliningrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
URA
2 - 1
BAL
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
BAL
2 - 0
ALA
25%
25%
49%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
ZHE
2 - 1
BAL
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
BAL
2 - 0
ZEN
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
FCR
0 - 1
BAL
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |