Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Avtodor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2010 |
DAG
0 - 3
CHE
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
CHE
4 - 0
ANG
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
BAT
1 - 3
CHE
29%
28%
44%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
CHE
0 - 1
ENE
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
DIN
0 - 3
CHE
22%
26%
52%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Avtodor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2010 |
AVV
0 - 1
MIT
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
DMA
1 - 3
AVV
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
AVV
1 - 3
AST
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
DAG
5 - 1
AVV
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
AVV
2 - 1
ANG
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |