Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 0
FKK
48%
23%
28%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
MAS
2 - 1
CHE
26%
28%
46%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
VOL
1 - 1
CHE
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 1
ANZ
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
BIO
0 - 2
CHE
14%
23%
63%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
NAL
0 - 4
ALA
64%
23%
14%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 2
NAL
21%
27%
52%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 2
CHA
17%
25%
59%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
DIN
1 - 1
ALA
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 0
KUB
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |