Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
FKM
0 - 0
CHE
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
CHE
0 - 1
CSK
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
KRS
1 - 1
CHE
49%
27%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 0
ZEN
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 1
CHE
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
ALA
1 - 0
SAT
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
FCR
3 - 1
ALA
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
ALA
3 - 2
LOK
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
FCR
4 - 0
ALA
44%
27%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
ALA
1 - 0
ROT
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |