Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Alania Vladikavkaz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
DMA
0 - 1
CHE
10%
18%
72%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 0
ANZ
50%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 0
CHE
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 1
NAL
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
MAS
3 - 0
CHE
13%
21%
66%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 0
DIN
17%
21%
63%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
LEG
2 - 3
ALA
67%
20%
13%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SKA
5 - 0
ALA
73%
17%
9%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FCT
3 - 1
ALA
24%
21%
55%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ROT
1 - 1
ALA
58%
20%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |