Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Alania Vladikavkaz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
CHE
24%
28%
48%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
CHE
3 - 0
DMA
76%
17%
7%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
FCO
1 - 2
CHE
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CHE
5 - 0
FKT
72%
19%
10%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VOL
3 - 0
CHE
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 0
FCK
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
TER
2 - 0
ALA
40%
24%
37%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 0
DAG
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BIO
1 - 0
ALA
52%
24%
25%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 2
MIT
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |