Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Akademiya Futbola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LEG
0 - 1
CHE
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
DMA
0 - 1
CHE
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 2
ALA
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 0
FKK
48%
23%
28%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
MAS
2 - 1
CHE
26%
28%
46%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Akademiya Futbola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
AKA
1 - 3
NAL
23%
27%
50%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
VOL
2 - 1
AKA
75%
17%
8%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
AKA
1 - 3
PKU
19%
23%
58%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
BIO
1 - 0
AKA
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
SKA
1 - 0
AKA
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |