Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Afips analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
FCK
5 - 0
CHE
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
AST
1 - 0
CHE
19%
25%
56%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
BIO
0 - 1
CHE
15%
24%
61%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 2
SKA
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 0
CHE
13%
23%
64%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Afips
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
AFI
1 - 1
DMA
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
MAS
0 - 1
AFI
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
AFI
3 - 7
TER
79%
15%
7%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
AFI
3 - 0
ALA
67%
19%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
FCK
1 - 0
AFI
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |