Chernomoretz Burgas vs Lokomotiv Mezdra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomoretz Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
PIR
0 - 0
CHB
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CHB
1 - 1
BGA
80%
14%
5%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MAS
0 - 0
CHB
14%
23%
63%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
CHB
1 - 2
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
CHB
1 - 2
LSO
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Mezdra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LOK
3 - 0
RAK
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
OFK
0 - 0
LOK
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LOK
0 - 4
LOK
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
LOK
0 - 0
SOZ
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
LOK
7 - 1
BDI
59%
22%
20%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |