UEFA Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Chernomoretz Burgas vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomoretz Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
LOV
2 - 1
CHB
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
CHB
1 - 0
VIH
48%
28%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CSK
3 - 0
CHB
62%
21%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
CHB
2 - 1
LSO
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
CHB
3 - 1
BOT
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
GOR
0 - 0
HIB
81%
13%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
HIB
0 - 3
GOR
20%
22%
58%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
GOR
6 - 1
IVA
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
FCK
4 - 3
GOR
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
NKN
1 - 2
GOR
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |