Chernomoretz Burgas vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomoretz Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LSO
1 - 0
CHB
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
MON
2 - 4
CHB
25%
28%
47%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
CHB
1 - 1
LSO
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
LUD
3 - 1
CHB
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CHB
1 - 1
LOV
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LOV
1 - 0
CSK
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SLI
0 - 1
CSK
15%
22%
64%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
CSK
0 - 2
ATR
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 1
MUR
65%
20%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
CSK
5 - 0
BVR
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |