Chernomoretz Burgas vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomoretz Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
SLI
0 - 1
CHB
27%
28%
46%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CHB
1 - 1
MON
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LSO
0 - 1
CHB
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CHB
2 - 1
OFK
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LOK
0 - 5
CHB
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 1
CSK
33%
27%
39%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
LSO
2 - 2
BOT
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 1
SSO
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
LOV
2 - 1
BOT
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 3
FKM
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |