Chernomoretz Burgas vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomoretz Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LPL
2 - 0
CHB
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CHB
2 - 0
CSK
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 1
CHB
27%
25%
47%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CHB
2 - 0
MON
71%
20%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
PIR
1 - 3
CHB
17%
25%
58%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
BER
1 - 0
LSO
28%
29%
43%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
LUD
3 - 0
BER
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
ETA
0 - 1
BER
27%
26%
48%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BER
0 - 0
40%
30%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
BER
0 - 1
LUD
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |