Chernomorets Balchik vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
66.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Balchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 0
CHE
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SVA
4 - 0
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 3
BEL
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BDI
0 - 0
CHE
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
CSK
3 - 0
HEB
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
ETA
0 - 1
CSK
22%
27%
51%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 0
ARK
46%
28%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OFK
1 - 2
CSK
25%
28%
48%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CSK
1 - 1
LSO
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |